Tag Archive for 'cdo'

America’s Financial Crisis

Joetta Forsyth, PhD

The United States is facing the greatest financial crisis since the Great Depression. Financial institutions are failing, as is confidence in the financial system.

U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke and U.S. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson have testified that Congress must act immediately to bail out troubled financial institutions, or we could face a financial collapse. There is much furor over the proposed $700 billion bailout, which didn’t get the required number of votes today to pass the House. Why, taxpayers ask, should people who were responsible and didn’t buy a house that they couldn’t afford, pay to bail out people who did, along with Wall Street fat cats? Exacerbating the problem is the fact the some of the people who are viewed as contributing to the crisis are now asking Americans to trust them to solve the crisis, using what could be an enormous amount of taxpayer dollars.

I share the same fury. And there is plenty of blame to go around. However, I would like to focus on the immediate problem. We are being told that something has to be done immediately, or we might have a financial collapse.

The key questions are:

  • Are we really facing a financial collapse?
  • Will this collapse happen rapidly or can we intervene if necessary later?
  • What would be the consequences of a financial collapse?

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Why Did Subprime Loans Become Such a Big Deal?

Abraham Park, PhD Intelligent people, including my wife, have been asking me questions about the subprime mortgage crisis. The point that seems to stump them is why a relatively small percentage of subprime mortgage defaults has led to a spiraling national credit crisis, how it happened, and where do we go from here. They were good questions, and if you are wondering the same thing, read on…

So what’s the deal with the subprime mortgage meltdown?

Well, imagine that the markets involved are analogous to a house with three stories. Each of the floors represent an industry related to the housing market and each of the upper stories are dependent on the one right below it.

The first floor represents the primary mortgage market (homeowners and their banks or mortgage lenders)

The second level represents the secondary mortgage market (where government-enabled agencies and private lenders by bundled bank mortgages)

The third represents the credit derivatives market (where securities created in the secondary mortgage market are pooled again with other debts and with various risk preferences)

The primary mortgage market is huge, but the second and third levels are just as huge. It makes for a pretty big meltdown when it all starts to unravel.

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