Editorial: California Greening: Boom or Bust?
The ongoing dust-up about global warming has brought front and center a number of new opportunities and threats to California’s currently fragile economy. Whether man-made global warming is real or not, the debate is having a growing impact on business. California’s influence, as is the case with many issues, is at the forefront. The Golden State’s Greenhouse Gas (GHG) initiative is receiving worldwide attention. One goal of this initiative is to cut industrial CO2 emissions by 25 percent by 2020.
As a follow-up to the GHG initiative, the state of California sued six major automobile manufacturers for contributing to the global warming crisis by specifically failing to cut car and truck exhaust emissions. Not resting on its laurels, the state followed up with a lawsuit against the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency for failing to act on California’s new limits on greenhouse vehicular gas emissions. A number of other states have joined in the action. Most likely, there will be a protracted legal process-perhaps lasting many years. Interestingly, the proposed CO2 standards will have, at best, only a modest impact on California’s overall air quality due to continued regional and worldwide population growth.
Voices from the business community argue that more stringent environmental and energy regulations will simply chase more businesses from the state at a time when the overall economy has cooled off and the state government is having an increasingly hard time balancing the budget. The state has already lost many businesses to Nevada, Arizona, Mexico, and beyond. Losing businesses means losing jobs, which translates into less state income. While driving businesses out of the state could have a positive impact on air quality, it seems like a misguided solution to the problem.
Historical evidence suggests that well-crafted environmental and energy policies can have a positive impact on the state’s economy if managed correctly. A 2000 Rand report indicated that personal income was approximately $1,000 higher per year at the end of the century as a result of energy conservation programs that were implemented beginning in the late 1970s. A second Rand report issued in 2006 suggests that with rising conventional energy costs (e.g., oil) and falling unconventional costs (e.g., renewables), the state could see around 25 percent of its energy supplied by unconventional, minimally polluting sources by 2025. This projection, of course, assumes that the requisite infrastructure can be developed over this time period.
Any viable solution must recognize that energy consumption and environmental quality are both related to the job market. What should be called for is a long-term approach that balances growing environmental awareness and increasing energy dependency from unreliable sources with the need to grow the economy and generate more jobs. Tax relief and tax credits represent an important aspect of this comprehensive plan. For example, the state should drop the minimum tax for small-to-medium-sized businesses (SMBs) engaged in either energy conservation or environmental quality businesses or in implementing energy conservation practices.
A substantial increase in tax credits for firms that 1) adopt unconventional energy sources, 2) reduce the energy signature of their products and services, and 3) switch to unconventionally-powered vehicles (e.g., hybrids) should lead to more significant outcomes compared to continuous litigation, which often yields questionable results.
A similar set of significant tax incentives for individuals engaged in like practices would go a long way to addressing the dual issues of environmental quality and energy independence. Another incentive package could be to encourage organizations to implement work-at-home policies. We are living in the digital age where the Internet has transformed the way organizations operate. The above incentives would not only create new jobs, but also help cut emissions and reduce reliance on unstable energy sources. It’s a win-win scenario.
Regardless of the pending litigations and potential incentives, many of California’s businesses are scrambling to prepare for potentially changing market conditions brought on by the threat of new regulatory requirements and increased consumer interest in “going green.” Wouldn’t it be better to approach the problem from a positive job-creating perspective rather than a one-sided litigious one? How many jobs are created by lawsuits?
Firms that might be considering California as a new home-much like the gold miner did 150 years ago-could be deflected away after seeing the onslaught of regulations and lawsuits. There is new “new gold” to be mined in California, but the question remains: What is the best way to extract these green nuggets?
 Mike Bowman, Cheryl Krauss. “New Study Finds Nearly 40 Percent of California Companies Plan to Move Jobs Out of State,” press release, California Business Roundtable and Bain & Company, February 26, 2004.
 Dan Morain. “Saving Energy Called Boon to California,” Los Angeles Times, April 19, 2000.
 John J. Fialka. “Renewable Fuels May Provide 25% of US Energy by 2025,” The Wall Street Journal, November 13, 2006, at A10.
About the Author(s)
Owen P. Hall, Jr., PE, PhD, Julian Virtue Professor, has more than 35 years of academic and industry experience in computer decision systems and technological forecasting. He has authored numerous technical papers and several books on computer-based management decision systems. The founder of a high-technology sensor company, Dr. Hall has also served on several government panels and corporate boards. Honored as a Harriet and Charles Luckman Distinguished Teaching Fellow in 1993, he has been involved in developing The Graziadio School's entrepreneurial and e-learning programs. Dr. Hall's current area of research includes the application of artificial intelligent agents to search engine technology and integrated learning systems. Specifically he is developing Internet based asynchronous learning nets for graduate management education. In 2012 he received a grant from GMAC to design a faculty collaboration network to enhance M-learning opportunities for students.